Volume no :2, Issue no: 1, September (2009)

A COMPARISON ON SMALL-SAMPLE POINT AND INTERVAL ESTIMATION OF POISSON DISTRIBUTION

Author's: Manlika Tanusit
Pages: [45] - [52]
Received Date: August 24, 2009
Submitted by:

Abstract

The objective of this study is to compare point estimation methods and interval estimation methods for the Poisson distribution when sample sizes are small. Three methods of point estimation: Maximum likelihood method, Bayesian method, and Minimax method, and three methods of interval estimation: Normal method, Normal-Bayesian method, and Score-Bayesian method are considered. The lowest mean absolute error and the lowest average width are used as the criteria to selection for point estimation and interval estimation, respectively. The scopes of this study consist of sample sizes: 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, and the parameter equal to 0.02, 0.04, 0.06, 0.08, and 0.1. Data are simulated 1,000 times generated by using the JAVA software. The results of this research are as follows. For point estimation, we recommend that for all sample sizes and parameter the Bayesian method should be used. In the case of interval estimation, Normal-Bayesian method is recommended for sample sizes 5 to between 0.2 to 0.4 and sample sizes 9 to equal to 0.2, whereas, Score-Bayesian method should be considered for sample sizes 5 to 8, values of ranging from 0.6 to 1 and sample sizes 9 to between 0.4 to 1.0.

Keywords

point estimation methods, interval estimation methods, Poisson distribution.